尽管金管局8月8次出手营救港币，但东亚银行驻香港的高级外汇市场策略师Alan Yip却表示，由于当前缺乏强劲的美元储备，8月可能只是一次彩排，香港金管局极有可能在9月加速耗尽港元的流动性。因为只要美联储9月开始加息，资本就会加剧外流!
金管局持续从市场上大量购入港元，使得市场上流通的港元减少，港元的借贷成本也会随之上升。据了解，香港银行间结余也从4月份开始干预汇率之前的1798亿港元下降至764亿港元。对此，有专家预测，9月份香港银行间结余可能会低于500亿港元的红线，这会增加市场上对融资成本上升的担忧情绪，让人不禁联想到1998年的金融危机。
不过，近年来随着中国外汇储备不断增加，香港可能不会再重蹈覆辙。据了解，截至今年3月份，我国外汇储备回升至3.1万亿美元，而我国的外债规模仅为外储的一半，偿债的压力较小。如果香港出现资本外流，中国也可以入市救局，此外中国强大的经济实力，也可能为香港的的流动资金续命一波，保持港币的流通度!
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AUD/USD Intraday: under pressure. Short positions below 0.7000 with targets at 0.6935 & 0.6890 in e
AUD/USD may fall 23 - 68 pips Pivot 0.7000 Our preference Short positions below 0.7000 with targets at 0.6935 & 0.6890 in extension. Alternat
EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure. Short positions below 1.0445 with targets at 1.0380 & 1.0360 in e
EUR/USD may fall 17 - 37 pips Pivot 1.0445 Our preference Short positions below 1.0445 with targets at 1.0380 & 1.0360 in extension. Alternat
USD/JPY Intraday: under pressure. Short positions below 133.50 with targets at 132.25 & 131.80 in e
USD/JPY may fall 59 - 104 pips Pivot 133.50 Our preference Short positions below 133.50 with targets at 132.25 & 131.80 in extension. Alterna
USD/CHF Intraday: under pressure. Short positions below 0.9875 with targets at 0.9760 & 0.9715 in e
USD/CHF may fall 44 - 89 pips Pivot 0.9875 Our preference Short positions below 0.9875 with targets at 0.9760 & 0.9715 in extension. Alternat
USD/CAD Intraday: the upside prevails. Long positions above 1.2890 with targets at 1.2975 & 1.2995
USD/CAD may rise 39 - 59 pips Pivot 1.2890 Our preference Long positions above 1.2890 with targets at 1.2975 & 1.2995 in extension. Alternati