对冲英国脱欧风险 投资者应该买入欧元卖出英镑

2018-09-24 21:16 来源: 作者:佚名

  9月24日晚消息,德意志银行表示,投资者应该买入欧元、卖出英镑,来“对冲英国脱欧谈判日益恶化”。包括Oliver Harvey在内的策略师表示,虽然他们的基本预期是英国和欧盟在11月份达成协议,但消息面变得更加消极。资金面依然不稳定,自英国脱欧以来,海外投资者一直在出售英国股票,并购方面也变为负面。

  虽然数据可能支持英国央行加息,但在脱欧局势变得更明朗之前,央行不太可能更加鹰派。英镑头寸方面仍然偏空,但远低于极端水平;相对于伦敦房价等基本面,英镑并不便宜,因此“政治局势恶化会给英镑带来很大的下行空间”。

  英国首相特里莎.梅难以就协议在议院得到多数支持的的风险越来越大,“因此可能需要市场施压来推动实现积极的结果”。

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