道明银行看多欧元兑瑞郎

2018-10-10 08:31 来源: 作者:佚名

  道明银行:风险回报更倾向于做多欧元兑瑞郎,而非做多欧元兑美元;

  ① 道明银行研究团队讨论了欧元兑美元和欧元兑瑞郎的前景,表示从风险溢价的角度来看,更倾向于做多欧元兑瑞郎;

  ② 除了油价上涨和全球利率前景外,意大利债券的下一步走势应该会决定欧元兑美元的前景。认为该区间将保持不变,主要是因为在经历了数月的大幅下挫后,现金似乎在逢低买入,而欧洲资产看起来颇具吸引力。现金货币账户很可能在欧元汇率跌破1.13水平时建立欧元多头风险敞开,考虑逢低买进;

  ③ 事实上,意大利的风险比试图推动动量交易更容易被预期,因为外围国家的峰值倾向于在短期内逆转。意大利仍是一个地方问题,欧元兑瑞郎因此将从中受到支撑;

  ④ 道明银行认为做多欧元兑瑞郎从风险回报来说要好于做多欧元美元

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