据国泰君安期货展望2019年,美联储加息或将因经济见顶而边际放缓甚至停止:历史回溯表明联储加息到降息的转换周期更短,即看到经济恶化便可选择停止加息。预计2019年美联储加息或因经济见顶回落而实质性终结,利好金价。随着市场对2019年美国经济见顶的担忧再度加剧,美元定价的资产将会继续出现较大的波动,黄金作为美元信用的对冲工具,将会走出一段中期行情。
据国泰君安期货展望2019年,美联储加息或将因经济见顶而边际放缓甚至停止:历史回溯表明联储加息到降息的转换周期更短,即看到经济恶化便可选择停止加息。预计2019年美联储加息或因经济见顶回落而实质性终结,利好金价。随着市场对2019年美国经济见顶的担忧再度加剧,美元定价的资产将会继续出现较大的波动,黄金作为美元信用的对冲工具,将会走出一段中期行情。
AUD/USD Intraday: under pressure. Short positions below 0.7000 with targets at 0.6935 & 0.6890 in e
AUD/USD may fall 23 - 68 pips Pivot 0.7000 Our preference Short positions below 0.7000 with targets at 0.6935 & 0.6890 in extension. Alternat
EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure. Short positions below 1.0445 with targets at 1.0380 & 1.0360 in e
EUR/USD may fall 17 - 37 pips Pivot 1.0445 Our preference Short positions below 1.0445 with targets at 1.0380 & 1.0360 in extension. Alternat
USD/JPY Intraday: under pressure. Short positions below 133.50 with targets at 132.25 & 131.80 in e
USD/JPY may fall 59 - 104 pips Pivot 133.50 Our preference Short positions below 133.50 with targets at 132.25 & 131.80 in extension. Alterna
USD/CHF Intraday: under pressure. Short positions below 0.9875 with targets at 0.9760 & 0.9715 in e
USD/CHF may fall 44 - 89 pips Pivot 0.9875 Our preference Short positions below 0.9875 with targets at 0.9760 & 0.9715 in extension. Alternat
USD/CAD Intraday: the upside prevails. Long positions above 1.2890 with targets at 1.2975 & 1.2995
USD/CAD may rise 39 - 59 pips Pivot 1.2890 Our preference Long positions above 1.2890 with targets at 1.2975 & 1.2995 in extension. Alternati