美国、俄罗斯、中东以及OPEC产油国之间的政治博弈是引起油价波动加大的深层次原因,未来各国之间的石油政治及战略仍会主导原油供给端,进而引起国际油价的剧烈波动。走势上,我们认为2016年年初启动的这轮原油上涨周期结束,2018年底油价的位置已经逼近底部,2019年上半年原油将筑底。2019年全年来看,Brent原油的运行区间预计在50-80美元/桶,WTI原油的运行区间预计在40-70美元/桶,SC原油的运行区间预计在350-550元/桶。
美国、俄罗斯、中东以及OPEC产油国之间的政治博弈是引起油价波动加大的深层次原因,未来各国之间的石油政治及战略仍会主导原油供给端,进而引起国际油价的剧烈波动。走势上,我们认为2016年年初启动的这轮原油上涨周期结束,2018年底油价的位置已经逼近底部,2019年上半年原油将筑底。2019年全年来看,Brent原油的运行区间预计在50-80美元/桶,WTI原油的运行区间预计在40-70美元/桶,SC原油的运行区间预计在350-550元/桶。
AUD/USD Intraday: under pressure. Short positions below 0.7000 with targets at 0.6935 & 0.6890 in e
AUD/USD may fall 23 - 68 pips Pivot 0.7000 Our preference Short positions below 0.7000 with targets at 0.6935 & 0.6890 in extension. Alternat
EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure. Short positions below 1.0445 with targets at 1.0380 & 1.0360 in e
EUR/USD may fall 17 - 37 pips Pivot 1.0445 Our preference Short positions below 1.0445 with targets at 1.0380 & 1.0360 in extension. Alternat
USD/JPY Intraday: under pressure. Short positions below 133.50 with targets at 132.25 & 131.80 in e
USD/JPY may fall 59 - 104 pips Pivot 133.50 Our preference Short positions below 133.50 with targets at 132.25 & 131.80 in extension. Alterna
USD/CHF Intraday: under pressure. Short positions below 0.9875 with targets at 0.9760 & 0.9715 in e
USD/CHF may fall 44 - 89 pips Pivot 0.9875 Our preference Short positions below 0.9875 with targets at 0.9760 & 0.9715 in extension. Alternat
USD/CAD Intraday: the upside prevails. Long positions above 1.2890 with targets at 1.2975 & 1.2995
USD/CAD may rise 39 - 59 pips Pivot 1.2890 Our preference Long positions above 1.2890 with targets at 1.2975 & 1.2995 in extension. Alternati