彭博表示,高盛下调2019年布伦特原油和WTI原油价格预期。
预计2019年布伦特原油均价为62.50美元/桶,较此前预期70美元下调10%,WTI原油今年均价为55.50美元,此前为64.50美元。
相比基本面,油价依然被低估。
考虑到年初的库存水平较高,加之成本通胀不甚明显、需求增长低于此前预期(即便是我们高于普遍预期的水平)以及低成本产能的增加,石油市场到2019年将以较低的边际成本实现平衡。
彭博表示,高盛下调2019年布伦特原油和WTI原油价格预期。
预计2019年布伦特原油均价为62.50美元/桶,较此前预期70美元下调10%,WTI原油今年均价为55.50美元,此前为64.50美元。
相比基本面,油价依然被低估。
考虑到年初的库存水平较高,加之成本通胀不甚明显、需求增长低于此前预期(即便是我们高于普遍预期的水平)以及低成本产能的增加,石油市场到2019年将以较低的边际成本实现平衡。
上一篇:美国经济尚未改变美元未必会贬值
AUD/USD Intraday: under pressure. Short positions below 0.7000 with targets at 0.6935 & 0.6890 in e
AUD/USD may fall 23 - 68 pips Pivot 0.7000 Our preference Short positions below 0.7000 with targets at 0.6935 & 0.6890 in extension. Alternat
EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure. Short positions below 1.0445 with targets at 1.0380 & 1.0360 in e
EUR/USD may fall 17 - 37 pips Pivot 1.0445 Our preference Short positions below 1.0445 with targets at 1.0380 & 1.0360 in extension. Alternat
USD/JPY Intraday: under pressure. Short positions below 133.50 with targets at 132.25 & 131.80 in e
USD/JPY may fall 59 - 104 pips Pivot 133.50 Our preference Short positions below 133.50 with targets at 132.25 & 131.80 in extension. Alterna
USD/CHF Intraday: under pressure. Short positions below 0.9875 with targets at 0.9760 & 0.9715 in e
USD/CHF may fall 44 - 89 pips Pivot 0.9875 Our preference Short positions below 0.9875 with targets at 0.9760 & 0.9715 in extension. Alternat
USD/CAD Intraday: the upside prevails. Long positions above 1.2890 with targets at 1.2975 & 1.2995
USD/CAD may rise 39 - 59 pips Pivot 1.2890 Our preference Long positions above 1.2890 with targets at 1.2975 & 1.2995 in extension. Alternati