分析师:基本面暗示人民币,美元和人民币将在2019年贬值

2019-01-30 12:40 来源: 作者:佚名

  法国外贸银行(Natixis)分析师表示,基本面暗示人民币,美元和人民币将在2019年贬值。

  欧元兑人民币、美元和日元可能会走强,其他三大货币之间变化不大。

  中国经济今年可能继续疲软。因消费减弱,企业投资下降,住房投资减少。若中国经济增长疲软,资本流出将继续,中国央行将拒绝失去更多的外汇储备,人民币应贬值。

  特朗普政府在充分就业期间推进扩张性财政政策,将导致美国赤字增加。过去(1985-89, 2002-2008)这将导致美元贬值。

  日元仍是避险货币,2019年日本将是唯一有巨大的流动性的国家,日央行将继续为公共债务融资。

上一篇:期铜建议2.7300下方做空,紧设止损

下一篇:基于利差成本做空澳元将成为外汇市场最便宜的避险对冲之一

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